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| Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders |
Clinton backers can take solace in halting the wave of momentum
Sanders rode into Nevada and its caucuses. She weathered an influx of liberals
and first-time caucus-goers to win in an unpredictable state.
Yet there’s a flip side. In the most diverse state to vote so
far, Sanders pieced together a coalition that draws on both demography and
ideology to show he can and likely will challenge Clinton for months to come.
Clinton does have wins in two of the first three states, with a
favorable map starting with next weekend’s contest in South Carolina ahead of
her. There’s no big delegate bounty yet; in Nevada, as in Iowa, the math
delivers her only a slight edge, with plenty of contests to come that can shift
the balance.
Critically, Sanders showed in Nevada that his campaign can reach
a different swath of voters. Sanders carried Latino voters by eight percentage
points, even though Clinton won two-thirds of Hispanics in the same state eight
years ago. Though Sanders lost African-Americans by a 3-1 margin, he’s at least
shown that he can win voters who aren’t white.
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| Hillary and Bernie shake hands |
Sanders again trounced Clinton among younger voters.
Three-fourths of caucus-goers under age 45 supported Sanders on Saturday, and
he won nearly 85 percent of those under 30.
Despite the loss, Sanders has a clear claim on the hearts of
Democrats. For voters wanting a candidate who “cares about people like me,”
eight in 10 chose Sanders. Among those wanting a candidate who is “honest and
trustworthy,” Sanders got 85 percent.
Clinton retains a hold on the party’s heads. For voters who
value electability in November, more than three-fourths favored Clinton in
Nevada. For those wanting the “right experience,” the margin was even more
lopsided north of 90 percent.
Clinton backers have made much of her “firewall” the cache of
states that vote between next weekend and early March that have large numbers
of black and working class white voters. That’s the Clinton base, and she’s
better positioned coming out of Nevada to start a winning streak that will
quiet the loudest of critics.
Sanders will need to win some states he’s not expected to if
he’s going to contend for the nomination.
That didn’t happen in Nevada. The Democratic race, though, very
clearly will have two contenders for a good while.


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